Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.13	6.75	15.5
	1.12	6.5	17
	1.12	6.74	16.25
	1.14	6.53	17.77	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.1	7.5	18
	1.12	6.5	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.55)	6.5 ↑ (3.9)	15.86 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
80.2%

Draw
14.1%

Moquegua
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moquegua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moquegua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Azurin A. (G) 9. Bazan V. 11. Chavez D. 17. Crespo H. 18. Gonzales J. 25. Goyoneche P. 13. Iriarte M. 5. Lopez de Castilla J. 24. Moreno K. 26. Rodriguez R. 8. Tello Y. (C)	29. Figueroa R. (G) 33. Alfageme A. 11. Centurion L. 90. Collazos J. 24. Correa M. 16. Davila A. 26. Flores C. 30. Granda J. (C) 13. Jimenez J. 14. Tapia J. 25. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
28. Caicedo 22. Chavez N. 27. Chipana J. 1. Loayza D. (G) 32. Mendoza G. 2. Pacheco O. 6. Palomino M. 16. Revilla 3. Valverde L.	4. Cueva O. 1. Valladares G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Tello Y. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Tello Y. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Gonzales J. ⚽,
63', Correa M. ↓, Cueva O. ↑,
65', Flores C. ↓, Fano F. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Collazos J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Binacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCV is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Binacional have a series of guest games.

In this match Binacional is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 2
12.08.24	Carlos Stein - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Santos - Escuela Municipal Binacional	Santos awarded ✺
09.07.24	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
03.07.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Coopsol	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?LWW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Moquegua	4:2 ✺
08.07.24	Moquegua - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Ayacucho - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1
05.05.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:0

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