Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 10

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)


	Moquegua		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.47	3.75	5.9
	1.54	3.79	6.63	Watch
	1.59	3.5	5.94
	1.47	3.75	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	6.02 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
60.4%

Draw
24.5%

Cantolao
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cantolao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Moquegua - Cantolao Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moquegua will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Figueroa R. (G) 10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 18. Cuero J. 16. Davila A. 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 23. Jimenez J. 22. Montenegro E. 24. Moreno K. 8. Sanchez D.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 3. Baylon F. 15. Cordova J. 24. Delgado V. 80. Falcon L. 20. Gomez J. 5. Herrera L. 8. Lara J. 25. Laura A. (C) 7. Lopez Y. 23. Rojas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Collazos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Herrera L. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
56', Cordova J. ↓, Ardiles R. ↑,
62', Lara J. 🟨,
64', Jimenez J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
64', Davila A. ↓, Centurion L. ↑,
68', 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Collazos J. (Pen),
85', 3 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Moquegua has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cantolao has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Moquegua is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Moquegua will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Moquegua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.25	Santos - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWW
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.25	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cantolao - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
19.04.25	Cantolao - Moquegua	0:1
08.07.24	Moquegua - Cantolao	0:1
20.05.24	Cantolao - Moquegua	1:0

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