Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Round 15

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)


	Ayacucho		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.35	4.3	7.37
	1.35	4.49	7.94	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.32	4.6	8.15
	1.35	4.3	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	4.46 ↑ (3.78)	7.74 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
67.9%

Draw
20.3%

Moquegua
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ayacucho - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: Ayacucho will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G)
2. Aquino H.
25. Ataupillco J.
11. Barboza S.
24. de la Cruz A.
14. Delgado J.
9. Peralta S.
10. Rios M. (C)
13. Rodriguez L.
5. Simon C.
16. Vilchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cornejo J. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
58', Tapia J. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
58', Lovera P. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
62', Delgado J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
66', Rios M. 🟨,
68', Jimenez J. 🟨,
68', Jimenez J. ↓, Cueva O. ↑,
70', Peralta S. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
70', Rios M. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
71', Granda J. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
85', Figueroa R. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez L. ↓, Allcca A. ↑,
87', Simon C. ↓, Keziel Santos ↑,
90', Fano F. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Flores C. ↓, Gastelu A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ayacucho could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ayacucho is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
29.06.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
07.06.24	Ayacucho - Santos	0:1 ✺
31.05.24	Ayacucho - Deportivo Municipal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1 ✺
24.06.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Moquegua - Santos	1:0 ✺
10.06.24	Deportivo Municipal - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
14.05.24	Moquegua - Ayacucho	0:1

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