The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlos Stein 13.4%
Draw 17%
San Marcos 69.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.4%
19.8%
63.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.2%
19.6%
64.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Marcos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Carlos Stein - San Marcos Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Marcos will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Montalvo D. (G) 11. Chirinos A. 14. Espinola S. 2. Mulazzi L. 31. Murillo A. 7. Ramirez M. 20. Ramirez V. 30. Ramos G. 6. Santa Cruz A. 23. Silva M. 22. Vargas H.
1. Camacho H. (G) 27. Adrianzen C. 18. Ayala J. 5. Bernaola B. 29. Freitas M. 22. Mesias Silva P. C. 10. Munoz J. 28. Romero P. 4. Soto J. 30. Tuesta J. 7. Velarde M.
Substitutes
25. Hilario J. 26. Revolledo J. (G) 10. Romani A. 29. Urbina L.
16. Cieza C. 21. Garcia A. (G) 20. Ortiz M. 2. Palomino S. 14. Quijano P. 6. Sanchez A. 9. Vasquez J. 19. Velasquez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Chirinos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mesias Silva P. C. ↓, Cieza C. ↑,
46', Velarde M. ↓, Vasquez J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Vasquez J. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
65', Tuesta J. 🟨,
66', Soto J. 🟨,
69', Ramirez V. ↓, Hilario J. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Vasquez J. ⚽,
82', Freitas M. ↓, Quijano P. ↑,
82', Adrianzen C. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
83', Sanchez A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).
Carlos Stein has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Marcos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlos Stein could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match San Marcos is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's San Marcos to win the game is with odds 1.5.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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Montalvo D. (G) 
Mulazzi L. 
Murillo A. 
Freitas M. 
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