The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 58.9%
Draw 23.7%
Sporting Cristal 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.7%
20.1%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
19.3%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Lima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 13. Huaman M. 6. Garces R. (C) 4. Chavez G. 3. Antoni M. 5. Pavez E. 25. Gentile G. 7. Gaibor F. 20. Velez J. 9. Ramos L. 8. Castillo E.
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 18. Gonzalez J. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 9. Vizeu F.
Substitutes
29. Archimbaud J. 18. Burlamaqui A. 31. Carbajal C. 15. Castillo J. 77. Estrada J. 99. Girotti F. 34. Paolo Guerrero 27. Quevedo K. 23. Viscarra G. (G)
96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 27. Gabriel 28. Otoya D. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Guede P.
Ze Ricardo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Antoni M. 🟨,
37', Iberico L. 🟨,
40', Lutiger R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Antoni M. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
58', Ramos L. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
58', Gentile G. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
63', Vizeu F. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
69', Gaibor F. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
69', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Cazonatti G. ⚽, Castro M. (A),
75', Chavez G. 🟨,
76', Velez J. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
87', Iberico L. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
90+1', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Pavez E. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
Alianza Lima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sporting Cristal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Lima: Advincula L.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
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Duarte A. (G) 
Antoni M. 
Pavez E. 
Gentile G. 
Gaibor F. 
Cristiano 
Viscarra G. (G) 
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