Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sporting Cristal		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.38	4.55	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.35
	1.37	4.89	7.59	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.4	4.74	6.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.72 ↑ (4.71)	7.24 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
67.4%

Draw
19.8%

Cajamarca
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.8%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

17.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sporting Cristal (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 96. Abram L. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 25. Tavara M. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Vizeu F. 16. Iberico L.	1. Campos A. (C) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 2. Duarte B. 13. Caro D. 16. Figuera A. 8. Dioses D. 19. Munoz A. 10. Lliuya M. 22. Camacho D. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
11. Avila I. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 23. Castro M. 40. Moretti J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 8. Sosa L. 26. Wisdom I.	88. Arce L. 11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 15. Cantt J. 3. Ganoza M. 5. Huerto J. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G. 14. Rasmussen M.
Coaches
Ze Ricardo	Bustos C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vizeu F. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
14', Dioses D. 🟨,
19', Munoz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
49', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
57', Figuera A. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
65', Vizeu F. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
65', Gonzalez S. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
73', de Jesus M. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
73', Camacho D. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
74', Munoz A. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
76', Lutiger R. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Rasmussen M. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Castro M. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
90+1', Yotun Y. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Lliuya M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.3:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	11	7	1	3	21:10	11	22
18	Cajamarca	11	0	2	9	11:25	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Moquegua	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.26	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.08.25	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	2:2
06.04.25	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	4:1
25.08.24	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	4:0
31.03.24	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:2
25.09.23	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	1:1
07.05.23	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:1
26.07.22	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	0:2

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