Match Info

BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 7

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	IT tv Plus


	Carmópolis		América de Propriá

	1	X	2
	3.26	3	2.15
	3.31	3.23	2.1	Watch
	3.32	3.28	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmópolis
27.7%

Draw
28.8%

América de Propriá
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

América de Propriá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Carmópolis - América de Propriá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 🟥,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Carmópolis has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches América de Propriá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently América de Propriá have a series of home games.

América de Propriá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carmópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
10.02.25	Falcon - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
03.02.25	Barra SE - Carmópolis	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Carmópolis - Confiança	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dorense - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Carmópolis - Sergipe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- América de Propriá
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.02.25	Barra SE - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	América de Propriá - Guarany de Porto da Folha	3:0 ✺
29.01.25	América de Propriá - Confiança	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	América de Propriá - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
14.01.25	América de Propriá - Dorense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
01.02.24	América de Propriá - Carmópolis	2:0

Carmópolis - América de Propriá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide