Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Carmarthen Town		Druids

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Carmarthen Town
33.8%

Draw
25.9%

Druids
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

18.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Druids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmarthen Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druids than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Druids could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:2 ✺
18.01.20	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	7:1 ✺
11.01.20	Carmarthen Town - Airbus UK Broughton	2:2 ✺
01.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.19	Carmarthen Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTW
- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.20	Airbus UK Broughton - Druids	2:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
25.01.20	Druids - Pontardawe Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.01.20	Bala Town - Druids	1:2 ✺
11.01.20	Druids - Pen-y-Bont	2:3 ✺
30.12.19	The New Saints - Druids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
31.10.26	Pontardawe Town - Carmarthen Town	✺

Carmarthen Town - Druids