Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Carmarthen Town		Druids

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.4	2.35
	2.55	3.6	2.38
	2.67	3.4	2.21
	2.75	3.76	2.27
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.73	3.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.4)	3.54 ↑ (3.49)	2.27 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
33.8%

Draw
25.9%

Druids
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

18.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Druids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmarthen Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druids than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Druids could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carmarthen Town - Druids Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:2 ✺
18.01.20	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	7:1 ✺
11.01.20	Carmarthen Town - Airbus UK Broughton	2:2 ✺
01.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.19	Carmarthen Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTW
- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.20	Airbus UK Broughton - Druids	2:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
25.01.20	Druids - Pontardawe Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.01.20	Bala Town - Druids	1:2 ✺
11.01.20	Druids - Pen-y-Bont	2:3 ✺
30.12.19	The New Saints - Druids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
02.11.19	Carmarthen Town - Druids	1:2
14.09.19	Druids - Carmarthen Town	3:3
20.04.19	Druids - Carmarthen Town	0:1
23.02.19	Carmarthen Town - Druids	0:1
10.11.18	Carmarthen Town - Druids	2:3
15.09.18	Druids - Carmarthen Town	4:0
06.01.18	Carmarthen Town - Druids	0:1

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