Match Info

Date: 7 February 2020, Friday


	Pen-y-Bont		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	2.8
	2.15	3.75	2.7
	2.1	4	2.75
	2.07	3.41	2.91
	2.26	3.68	2.92
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.16	3.62	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	3.67 ↓ (3.86)	2.86 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pen-y-Bont
42.9%

Draw
25%

Carmarthen Town
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

17.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pen y Bont - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh FA Cup
24.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.01.20	Aberystwyth Town - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
11.01.20	Druids - Pen-y-Bont	2:3 ✺
04.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	0:0 ✺
01.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTT
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.01.20	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	7:1 ✺
11.01.20	Carmarthen Town - Airbus UK Broughton	2:2 ✺
01.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.19	Carmarthen Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
21.12.19	Carmarthen Town - Caernarfon Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
01.01.20	Pen-y-Bont - Carmarthen Town	1:1
26.12.19	Carmarthen Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2

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