Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Druids		Pen-y-Bont

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.5	1.27
	8	5.6	1.25
	8.8	5.2	1.24
	9.13	5.5	1.3
	12	5	1.22
	9.9	5.75	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.22 ↑ (6.7)	5.43 ↓ (5.5)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druids
9.9%

Draw
16.9%

Pen-y-Bont
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

16.5%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

9.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druids than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Druids, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-31.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Druids - Pen y Bont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)).

Druids has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pen-y-Bont is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Druids could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pen-y-Bont is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Druids won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Druids won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
10.09.21	Caernarfon Town - Druids	3:0 ✺
31.08.21	Newtown - Druids	5:0 ✺
28.08.21	Druids - Barry Town United	1:4 ✺
21.08.21	Flint Town United - Druids	4:0 ✺
13.08.21	Druids - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.09.21	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
31.08.21	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
28.08.21	Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Pen-y-Bont - Newtown	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
29.11.20	Pen-y-Bont - Druids	1:1
17.10.20	Druids - Pen-y-Bont	0:2
11.01.20	Druids - Pen-y-Bont	2:3
27.10.19	Pen-y-Bont - Druids	2:3

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