Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Carmarthen Town		Ynyshir Albions

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.65	3.35
	1.84	3.82	3.49
	1.86	4.05	3.52
	1.82	3.75	3.45
	1.89	3.99	3.46
	1.81	3.70	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	3.44 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
49.6%

Draw
23.8%

Ynyshir Albions
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

25%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmarthen Town's performance.

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Cartwright A. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Jones H. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Rickard J. ⚽,
83', Norton J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Baker C. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Carmarthen Town has had a series of home games.

Recently, Ynyshir Albions has had a series of away games.

Carmarthen Town might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14
7	Ynyshir Albions	8	3	4	1	9:7	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Carmarthen Town - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	2:4 ✺
14.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWW
- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
21.03.26	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	0:0
01.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Carmarthen Town	0:2
28.04.23	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	2:0
24.09.22	Ynyshir Albions - Carmarthen Town	1:5

Upcoming Matches