Match Info

Cymru South - Round 3

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Carmarthen Town		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.1
	1.65	4.25	3.97
	1.66	4.17	4.39
	1.63	4.2	3.9
	1.73	4.24	3.93
	1.64	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.46)	4.07 ↓ (4.22)	4.07 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
55.1%

Draw
22.4%

Afan Lido
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmarthen Town's form might have worsened.

Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afan Lido's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Afan Lido will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Aylward T. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Keetch C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Reed L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 3 - 1, Bevan R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 2.

Carmarthen Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carmarthen Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	4:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLWL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:5 ✺
18.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	0:1
24.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	1:0
01.03.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	2:2
27.09.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:3
02.02.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	4:1
30.09.23	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:3
03.02.23	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:0

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