Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Carmarthen Town		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.75	4.1	3.6
	1.8	3.97	3.81
	1.73	4.05	3.55
	1.86	4.15	3.42
	1.75	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.95 ↑ (3.8)	3.56 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
51.3%

Draw
23.1%

Treowen Stars
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Aylward T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
65', 1 - 1, Evans M. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Foxwell J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Thomas O. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, Thomas O. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Jones H. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Carmarthen Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Treowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carmarthen Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carmarthen Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
14.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLLW
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
01.08.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1

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