The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pitbulls 38.9%
Draw 26.6%
Carmelita 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
26.7%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
27.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pitbulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pitbulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Pitbulls - Carmelita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Villalobos W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Monge G. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Porras S. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th).
Pitbulls is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Carmelita is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Pitbulls may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Pitbulls has faced a series of away games on the road.
Pitbulls is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Pitbulls has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pitbulls against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
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