The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carolina Core 34%
Draw 26.5%
Atlanta United II 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
27.1%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
27.2%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Carolina Core - Atlanta United II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Holliday N. (G) 21. Martinez N. 3. Yepes Valle S. 4. Evers N. (C) 17. Caiza J. 7. Zeegers T. 6. Montenegro R. 12. Alenga M. 20. Raimbault T. 26. Tattevin A. 58. Diaz D.
51. Ransom J. (C) 44. Chica D. 82. Senanou M. 64. Cisset M. 50. Chong-Qui D. 16. Gill A. 23. Torres A. 67. Dovlo E. 56. Suarez I. 70. Dunbar C. 39. Kovac A.
Substitutes
23. Aguirre R. 14. Balogun K. 22. Brown N. 18. Colon D. 16. Diakite M. 44. Jackson T. (G) 80. John D. 8. Lundeen C. 11. Sumo A.
38. Butts L. 60. Donaldson J. (G) 72. Ettinger I. 78. Jardines A. 81. Sibrian D. 80. Tablante M. 33. Weah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Dunbar C. ⚽,
41', Senanou M. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Dunbar C. ⚽, Chong-Qui D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Alenga M. ↓, Sumo A. ↑,
48', Montenegro R. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
53', Zeegers T. 🟨,
54', Cisset M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Sumo A. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
70', Kovac A. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
72', Diaz D. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
74', Dovlo E. ↓, Tablante M. ↑,
75', Raimbault T. ↓, Balogun K. ↑,
78', Balogun K. 🟨,
79', Torres A. 🟨,
84', Tattevin A. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Suarez I. ↓, Ettinger I. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 3.
Carolina Core is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Carolina Core may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlanta United II has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).