Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Caronnese		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	4	3.7	1.72
	3.58	3.31	1.88
	3.66	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.65)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	1.8 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
23.9%

Draw
25.8%

Lumezzane
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.5%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caronnese - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Caronnese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lumezzane is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Arconatese - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Caronnese - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Lumezzane - Brusaporto	4:2 ✺
04.12.22	Villa Valle - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Lumezzane - Arconatese	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Desenzano Calvina - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Lumezzane - Breno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWW

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