Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.71
	3.63	3.2	1.93
	3.9	3.6	1.67
	3.5	3.48	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.72)	3.47 ↓ (3.83)	1.8 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
24.1%

Draw
25.9%

Lumezzane
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

23.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desenzano Calvina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Desenzano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lumezzane is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.11.22	Franciacorta - Desenzano Calvina	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Desenzano Calvina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Desenzano Calvina - Varese	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Caronnese - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.11.22	Lumezzane - Breno	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Varesina - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Casatese - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Lumezzane - Seregno	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Lumezzane	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
10.10.26	Desenzano Calvina - Dolomiti Bellunesi	✺
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.26	Juventus U23 - Lumezzane	✺
10.10.26	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	✺

Desenzano Calvina - Lumezzane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide