Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Carrarese		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.71	3	4.6
	1.75	2.95	5
	1.76	3.05	4.4
	1.58	3.27	5.14
	1.73	3.2	4.6
	1.62	3.54	5.4	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	3.19 ↑ (2.95)	4.81 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
52.9%

Draw
28.3%

Fiorenzuola
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

30%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

27.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Carrarese - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 12).

Carrarese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carrarese to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Carrarese - Rimini	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Reggiana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Carrarese - Imolese	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTWW
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Fiorenzuola - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Virtus Entella - Fiorenzuola	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Fiorenzuola - Cesena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Gubbio - Fiorenzuola	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montevarchi - Fiorenzuola	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Carrarese	2:0

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