Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.52
	6.5	3.6	1.55
	6.46	3.71	1.57
	6.46	3.71	1.58
	6.5	3.5	1.5
	6.55	3.6	1.51
	6.2	3.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (6.06)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	1.54 (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
14.5%

Draw
25.6%

Carrarese
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

26.5%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

25.9%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Carrarese aligns with the current prediction.

Fermana - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 5. Spedalieri J. 6. Fort F. 3. Pistolesi F. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 26. Misuraca G. 16. Fontana T. 9. Curatolo D. 7. Tilli R.	1. Bleve M. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 4. Illanes J. 72. Zanon S. 5. Della L. S. (C) 6. Cerretelli F. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 27. Simeri S. 10. Panico G.
Substitutes
77. Badji A. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 25. Esposito C. 24. Gianelli J. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 10. Pinzi R. 18. Vessella M.	28. Capello A. 26. Cartano R. 99. Giannetti N. 3. Imperiale M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 20. Opoola M. 23. Raimo A. 12. Tampucci T. (G) 17. Zuelli E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carrarese is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.23	Pescara - Fermana	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Fermana - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Fermana - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Rimini - Fermana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWTTL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rimini - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.09.23	Carrarese - Fermana	3:0
11.03.23	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0
05.11.22	Carrarese - Fermana	2:0
30.01.22	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0
25.09.21	Carrarese - Fermana	1:0
Coppa Italia
04.08.19	Carrarese - Fermana	2:1 penalties

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