Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Carrarese		Modena

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.30	1.86	Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.80
	4.10	3.55	1.83	Watch
	4.58	3.52	1.90
	4.69	3.5	1.77	Watch
	4.50	3.40	1.87
	4.36	3.33	1.91	Watch
	4.20	3.50	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.52)	3.48 ↑ (3.27)	1.85 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
21.7%

Draw
27.2%

Modena
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

27.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carrarese - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: Modena will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Modena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 6. Oliana F. 33. Reale F. 7. Belloni N. 77. Parlanti G. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 23. Braunoder M. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 10. Rubino T.	1. Chichizola L. (C) 77. Tonoli D. 6. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 27. Azzi P. 8. Santoro S. 16. Brugman G. 42. Bianco A. 7. Zampano F. 10. Caso G. 70. Ambrosino G.
Substitutes
11. Cisse M. 70. Cudrig N. 32. Finotto M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 78. Guercio T. 8. Khafi Y. 5. Macchioni T. 91. Marconi G. 28. Martini J. 66. Pinelli P. 41. Romani L. 17. Topalovic L.	32. Acquah W. 29. Bacchin L. 11. Belotti A. 17. Bozhanaj K. 22. Consiglio L. (G) 23. Folino F. 26. Imputato A. 25. Laidani A. (G) 9. Montevago D. 15. Odero M. 72. Olzer G. 34. Ronco D.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Galloppa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Parlanti G. (A),
25', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
28', Rouhi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Abiuso F. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Rubino T. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
56', Brugman G. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
56', Zampano F. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
56', Nador S. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
61', Rubino T. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
71', Abiuso F. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Belotti A. ⚽, Olzer G. (A),
81', Belloni N. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
81', Parlanti G. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
85', Azzi P. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
88', Pagliuca G. 🟥,
90', Caso G. 🟨,
90+1', Santoro S. 🟨,
90+4', Marconi G. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Carrarese (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Modena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Modena carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Carrarese: Dagba C. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Modena: Bozhanaj K. (Inactive) Manquant J. (Knee Injury) Sarris G. (Inactive) Sersanti A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Carrarese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carrarese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17:9	8	19
18	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.39%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Modena - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
11.10.26	Padova - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
11.10.26	Modena - Verona	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0
04.05.25	Carrarese - Modena	2:1
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Carrarese - Modena	2:3
31.10.21	Modena - Carrarese	2:0

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