Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Carrarese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	2.03	3.05	3.35
	2.03	3.26	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.01	3.15	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
45.9%

Draw
28.9%

Pistoiese
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carrarese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Carrarese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pistoiese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.21	Imolese - Carrarese	2:4 ✺
02.10.21	Carrarese - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
28.09.21	Reggiana - Carrarese	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Carrarese - Fermana	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.21	Pistoiese - Teramo	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Siena - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
28.09.21	Pistoiese - Ancona	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Vis Pesaro - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Pistoiese - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:2
21.10.20	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:0
25.01.20	Pistoiese - Carrarese	1:1
15.09.19	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:1
06.04.19	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:1
09.12.18	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:1
11.05.18	Carrarese - Pistoiese	5:0

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