Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Carrarese		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.79	3.4	3.8
	1.61	3.15	4.7
	1.67	3.55	3.88
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.81	3.45	4.1	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	4.11 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
52.1%

Draw
26.1%

Montevarchi
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

26%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Carrarese - Montevarchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montevarchi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Carrarese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montevarchi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Carrarese - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Montevarchi - Ancona	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Fermana - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Montevarchi - Siena	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Montevarchi - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Olbia - Montevarchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.22	Montevarchi - Carrarese	2:1
13.02.22	Montevarchi - Carrarese	1:1
02.10.21	Carrarese - Montevarchi	2:2

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