The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imolese 31%
Draw 30.4%
Carrarese 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
31.3%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
31%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
33.3%
44.4%
Imolese - Carrarese Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Imolese will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Recent matches Imolese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carrarese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Imolese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Imolese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.