Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)


	Perugia		Carrarese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.13	3.15	3.58
	2.14	3.15	3.58
	2.07	3.19	3.51
	2.02	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	3.53 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
44.4%

Draw
29.5%

Carrarese
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Perugia - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 44. Lewis N. 6. Vulikic S. 21. Cudrig N. 4. Iannoni E. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 91. Souare M. 45. Sylla Y. 11. Seghetti A.	1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 82. Capezzi L. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 10. Panico G. 5. Della L. S. 32. Finotto M.
Substitutes
1. Abibi A. (G) 33. Agosti L. 5. Angella G. 14. Bezziccheri D. 71. Bozzolan A. 95. Cicioni G. 86. Giunti G. 23. Lisi F. 10. Matos 73. Polizzi M. 20. Ricci F. 17. Ronchi C. 24. Torrasi E. 9. Vazquez F.	39. Belloni N. 66. Boli J. 6. Cerretelli F. 21. Coppolaro M. 99. Giannetti N. 7. Grassini D. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 8. Palmieri R. 12. Tampucci T. (G) 17. Zuelli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Zanon S. ⚽,
42', Finotto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vulikic S. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Di Gennaro M. ⚽,
63', Bartolomei P. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
63', Cudrig N. ↓, Matos ↑,
69', Capezzi L. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
71', Sylla Y. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
76', Della L. S. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
79', Zanon S. 🟨,
81', Zanon S. ↓, Grassini D. ↑,
81', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
81', Illanes J. ↓, Coppolaro M. ↑,
83', Kouan C. 🟨,
84', Kouan C. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Perugia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Perugia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Cesena - Perugia	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Perugia - Olbia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Lucchese - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Carrarese - Rimini	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
28.03.24	Carrarese - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.24	Carrarese - Perugia	1:0
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
10.03.13	Carrarese - Perugia	0:1

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