The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 40.8%
Draw 27.4%
Pescara 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
26.6%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
25.9%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.
Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Carrarese - Pescara Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Pescara will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. (C) 26. Ruggeri F. 13. Bouah D. 77. Parlanti G. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 28. Di Stefano F. 9. Abiuso F.
22. Saio I. (G) 3. Letizia G. 2. Capellini R. 6. Bettella D. 32. Cagnano A. 14. Valzania L. 8. Brugman G. 27. Olzer G. 13. Acampora G. 11. Insigne L. (C) 9. Di Nardo A.
Substitutes
80. Accornero F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 78. Guercio T. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 73. Rouhi J. 21. Rubino T. 18. Schiavi N. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.
15. Altare G. 36. Berardi L. 41. Bonassi L. (G) 5. Brandes J. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 21. Caligara F. 95. Corbo G. 26. Gravillon A. 20. Graziani L. 7. Meazzi L. 33. Oliveri A. 31. Russo F.
Coaches
Calabro A.
Gorgone G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Di Stefano F. ⚽, Belloni N. (A),
22', Acampora G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Letizia G. ⚽, Insigne L. (A),
45', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Di Stefano F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Acampora G. ⚽,
66', Letizia G. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑,
67', Olzer G. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
67', Acampora G. ↓, Berardi L. ↑,
69', Parlanti G. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
69', Zuelli E. ↓, Schiavi N. ↑,
76', Ruggeri F. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
76', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Bouah D. ⚽,
85', Di Nardo A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
85', Valzania L. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1.
Carrarese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Pescara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Carrarese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Carrarese: Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Guercio T.
(Inactive)
Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Inactive)
Torregrossa E.
(Inactive)
Zanon S.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Pescara: Desplanches S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fanne L.
(Inactive)
Faraoni D.
(Injury)
Merola D.
(Inactive)
Pellacani F.
(Knee Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Pescara: Altare G.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).