Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Loughview Leisure Arena (Carrickfergus)

Referee: McKenna M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Carrick Rangers		Coleraine

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.75	1.82
	3.50	3.60	1.85
	3.51	4.28	1.88
	3.34	4.12	1.84	Watch
	3.40	4.20	1.86
	3.51	3.92	1.79
	3.50	3.70	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.27)	3.94 ↓ (4.21)	1.84 (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrick Rangers
26.6%

Draw
23.4%

Coleraine
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

21.9%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Coleraine have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Carrick Rangers - Coleraine Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 4. Burns B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 12. McCullough L. (C) 2. Place M. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.	12. Webb L. (G) 4. Boyle D. 11. Cooper J. 23. Doherty B. 17. Henderson J. 2. Kane L. 8. Patching W. 9. Shevlin M. 19. Slevin R. 16. Wilson A. 22. Wylie B.
Substitutes
25. Agnew D. (G) 20. Cherry K. 8. Clucas S. 23. Hastings J. 11. Maciulaitis N. 17. Moore J. 7. O'Conchubhair D.	20. Devine S. 28. Devlin O. 15. Ives L. 3. Jarvis D. 7. McGregor L. 24. McMenamin C. 31. Robinson Z. (G)
Coaches
Baxter S.	Higgins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kane L. 🟨,
31', Slevin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Henderson J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
56', Burns B. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Cooper J. ⚽,
69', Steele A. ↓, Maciulaitis N. ↑,
72', Snoddy M. 🟨,
73', Wylie B. ↓, Ives L. ↑,
77', Cooper J. ↓, Devine S. ↑,
77', Snoddy M. ↓, Cherry K. ↑,
77', Burns B. ↓, O'Conchubhair D. ↑,
79', Crowe J. ↓, Hastings J. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Doherty B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 0.

Carrick Rangers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Coleraine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coleraine could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrick Rangers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.6:1.7).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Coleraine: 35.47% Carrick Rangers: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coleraine	10	8	1	1	22:10	12	25
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Coleraine - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Limavady United - Carrick Rangers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Ballyclare Comrades - Carrick Rangers	1:8 ✺
28.07.26	Carrick Rangers - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWL
- Coleraine FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Coleraine - Larne	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Coleraine	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Coleraine - HJK	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	HJK - Coleraine	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Coleraine - Portadown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
14.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	1:1
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	1:4 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
06.12.25	Coleraine - Carrick Rangers	3:1
27.09.25	Coleraine - Carrick Rangers	2:1
08.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	0:1
12.10.24	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	2:1
14.09.24	Coleraine - Carrick Rangers	3:1

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