Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Showgrounds (Coleraine)

Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Coleraine		Larne

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	3.10
	1.95	3.4	3.35
	2.02	3.65	3.6
	2.03	3.57	3.18	Watch
	1.99	3.55	3.55
	1.94	3.4	3.45
	1.96	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.16)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.37 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coleraine
46.3%

Draw
26.4%

Larne
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coleraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Coleraine - Larne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Webb L. (G) 4. Boyle D. 11. Cooper J. 23. Doherty B. 15. Ives L. 2. Kane L. 21. McDonald R. 8. Patching W. 9. Shevlin M. 6. Slevin R. 22. Wylie B.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 25. Sloan D.
Substitutes
20. Devine S. 17. Henderson J. 3. Jarvis D. 7. McGregor L. 24. McMenamin C. 31. Robinson Z. (G) 16. Wilson A.	16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 19. O'Hara K. 8. Randall M.
Coaches
Higgins R.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coleraine won 2.

In recent matches, Coleraine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Larne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Coleraine might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coleraine won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coleraine won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Coleraine: 35.47% Larne: 29.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coleraine	10	8	1	1	22:10	12	25
3	Larne	6	5	1	0	12:3	9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coleraine FC
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Coleraine	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Coleraine - HJK	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	HJK - Coleraine	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Coleraine - Portadown	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Coleraine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Larne FC
UEFA Europa League
11.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Larne	2:1 AET ✺
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Larne	5:0 ✺
21.07.26	Larne - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
14.07.26	Larne - Tre Fiori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Charity Shield
03.07.26	Larne - Coleraine	1:0 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.26	Larne - Coleraine	1:4
Northern Irish Cup
04.04.26	Coleraine - Larne	2:1 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
02.01.26	Larne - Coleraine	3:0
25.11.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:2
10.08.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:0
12.04.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:2

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