Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 26

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday


	Carshalton Athletic		Hastings United

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.56	4.1	4.6
	1.48	4.92	5.13
	1.45	4.72	5.33	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.42	4.33	6.11
	1.56	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.74)	4.31 ↑ (3.71)	5.18 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
61.2%

Draw
21.2%

Hastings United
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carshalton Athletic's performance.

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hastings United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carshalton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Smith D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Rodari D. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Paul Lavaly N. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Hastings could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carshalton is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hashtag United	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hendon - Carshalton Athletic	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
01.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLL
- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.01.25	Hastings United - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	3:1 ✺
28.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Hastings United - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Hastings United - Bowers & Pitsea	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
20.01.24	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1
21.11.23	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	4:0
25.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1
24.09.22	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
18.04.13	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	1:4

Upcoming Matches