Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.3
	1.88	3.83	3.27
	1.85	4.12	3.29	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.8	3.64	3.69
	1.9	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	3.4 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
49.1%

Draw
24.2%

Carshalton Athletic
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Billericay Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Long E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Carshalton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Billericay might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Billericay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Billericay Town - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.14%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.12.25	Aveley - Billericay Town	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Billericay Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTWT
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	St Albans City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:1 ✺
11.11.25	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	1:0
22.02.25	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:2
09.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	4:3
20.04.24	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	1:2
28.11.23	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
25.03.23	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
28.11.22	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	2:0

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