Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Isthmian League Premier Division 🌤️ ...


	Carshalton Athletic		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.50	2.20
	2.60	3.55	2.14
	2.56	3.75	2.32
	2.6	3.85	2.26	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.25
	2.73	3.87	2.25
	2.70	3.55	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.66)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)	2.24 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
34.7%

Draw
24.7%

Eastbourne Borough
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Carshalton Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Carshalton Athletic - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Egbri T. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Rees J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 3, (Own goal),
70', 0 - 4, Rees J. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 11th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Eastbourne could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Carshalton has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Carshalton has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Eastbourne Boro	12	8	1	3	23:12	11	25
7	Carshalton	15	7	1	7	23:28	-5	22

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.10.26	Ramsgate - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.09.26	Southall - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.09.26	Maldon & Tiptree - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
15.09.26	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL
- Eastbourne Borough
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Thame United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Eastbourne Borough - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Eastbourne Borough - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Lewes - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Eastbourne Borough - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.09.17	Eastbourne Borough - Carshalton Athletic	4:3

Carshalton Athletic - Eastbourne Borough: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide