Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Southwood Stadium (Ramsgate)


	Ramsgate		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.80
	2.05	3.45	2.85
	2.04	3.72	3.12
	2.2	3.64	2.8	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.15
	2.12	3.99	3.04
	2.10	3.60	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)	3.64 ↓ (3.68)	2.95 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ramsgate
43.9%

Draw
25.1%

Carshalton Athletic
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ramsgate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ramsgate than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ramsgate - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Young-Coombes N. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Paxman A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, James C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 3, Hechachena H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Ramsgate is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Carshalton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Carshalton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ramsgate has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ramsgate against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Ramsgate: 5.48% Carshalton: 4.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21
6	Ramsgate	10	5	1	4	23:14	9	16

Last Results with these Odds

Ramsgate - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ramsgate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Ramsgate - Maldon & Tiptree	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Ramsgate - Whyteleafe	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Welling United - Ramsgate	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ramsgate - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWLW
- Carshalton Athletic
English FA Trophy
27.09.26	Southall - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.09.26	Maldon & Tiptree - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
15.09.26	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Carshalton Athletic - Ramsgate	1:2
25.10.25	Ramsgate - Carshalton Athletic	2:2

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