The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lewes 30.6%
Draw 25.2%
Carshalton Athletic 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
26.4%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
25.9%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Lewes - Carshalton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Mills H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Walker C. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Gondoh R. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1.
Lewes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Carshalton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lewes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Carshalton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
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