Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Cartagena		Castellón

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.71
	4.6	3.7	1.73	Watch
	4.93	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.81	3.7	1.74	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↓ (5.1)	3.71 ↓ (3.83)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
20.1%

Draw
25.3%

Castellón
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.5%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Castellón aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Cartagena - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 4. Alcala P. (C) 22. Olivas K. 21. Delmas J. 17. Andy 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 32. Luna D. 20. Nacho 9. Ortuno A. 33. El Jebari S.	13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 14. Gil O. (C) 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 6. van den Belt T. 2. Zarfino G. 21. Calatrava A. 4. Suero I. 19. Mabil A. 24. Camara O.
Substitutes
29. Checo 11. Clemente O. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 16. Machin J. 14. Millan A. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 38. Nunez R. 30. Reyes J. (G) 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A.	23. Calavera J. 16. Cipenga B. 1. Crettaz G. (G) 9. de Miguel J. 25. Escobar J. 12. Jojic M. 18. Lottin A. 20. Markanich N. 7. Moyita S. 51. Pastor G. 3. Traore M. 15. Willems J.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Plat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, El Jebari S. (A),
11', Calatrava A. 🟨,
36', Nacho 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, El Jebari S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zarfino G. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
46', Gil O. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽,
54', Nacho ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
54', Luna D. ↓, Mini ↑,
55', 2 - 2, van den Belt T. ⚽,
65', El Jebari S. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
65', Ortuno A. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
74', Suero I. ↓, Jojic M. ↑,
78', Hernandez J. 🟨,
83', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
84', Andy ↓, Musto D. ↑,
87', Calatrava A. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Aguirregabiria M. (Yellow Cards) Moreno J. (Injury) Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Valles G. (Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Cartagena - Burgos	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Levante - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Cartagena - Eibar	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.25	Levante - Castellón	3:2 ✺
17.03.25	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Elche - Castellón	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Castellón - Burgos	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cádiz - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Castellón - Cartagena	4:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Castellón - Cartagena	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.21	Cartagena - Castellón	1:0
15.11.20	Castellón - Cartagena	2:1

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