Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 31

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cartagena		Burgos

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4	3	1.95
	4	3	2.04
	4.43	3.1	2.06
	4.44	3.09	2	Watch
	4.25	3.04	2.03	Watch
	4	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.47)	3.05 ↓ (3.28)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
22.4%

Draw
30.9%

Burgos
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

27%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Cartagena - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 38. Nunez R. 19. Aguirregabiria M. 24. Sipcic N. 22. Olivas K. 20. Nacho 32. Luna D. 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 6. Mini 33. El Jebari S. 9. Ortuno A.	13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 3. Miguel F. 11. Alex 46. Quintanilla R. 5. Atienza M. 7. Ojeda D. 9. Nino F. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
17. Andy 29. Checo 11. Clemente O. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 16. Machin J. 14. Millan A. 18. Musto D. 30. Reyes J. (G) 36. Rubio L. N. 12. Vukcevic A.	15. Bares G. 28. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 33. Exposito M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 2. Konan G. 24. Milicic N. 17. Mimbacas F. 1. Nadal T. (G) 6. Navarro R. 20. Pipa 10. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Alex (Pen),
45+2', Espiau Hernandez E. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojeda D. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
58', Quintanilla R. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
58', Alex ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
65', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
67', Luna D. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
67', El Jebari S. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
68', Sierra G. 🟨,
71', Nino F. 🟨,
72', Mini 🟨,
75', Nacho ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
75', Nunez R. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
75', Mini ↓, Millan A. ↑,
81', Exposito M. 🟨,
84', Sanchez B. 🟨,
85', Sanchez B. 🟨,
86', Machin J. 🟨,
87', Nino F. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
88', Ortuno A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0.

Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Burgos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Alcala P. (Muscle Injury) Moreno J. (Injury) Munoz L. (Thigh Injury) Valles G. (Inactive) Vukcevic A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Elady (Injury) Navarro R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burgos: Alex (Injury) Curro (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Burgos to win the game is with odds 2.01.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.25	Levante - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Cartagena - Eibar	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cartagena - Málaga	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cádiz - Cartagena	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Castellón - Burgos	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Burgos - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:1
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0
16.12.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:3
07.05.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:0
04.09.22	Burgos - Cartagena	1:0
14.05.22	Burgos - Cartagena	1:1
21.11.21	Cartagena - Burgos	1:0

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