Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	Sky Sport
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 4, Movistar+ Lite
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cartagena		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	9.25	5.5	1.25
	9	5.2	1.3	Watch
	9.32	5.6	1.31
	9.46	5.4	1.32	Watch
	12	5.5	1.25
	9.6	5.4	1.31	Watch
	9	5.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.52 ↑ (7.05)	5.41 ↑ (4.47)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
9.9%

Draw
17.4%

Mirandés
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

21%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

20.2%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Cartagena - Mirandés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Mirandés (1.25) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.75 - Cartagena (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cartagena (3.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirandés will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Mirandés (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reyes J. (G) 21. Delmas J. 19. Aguirregabiria M. 28. Hernandez J. 20. Nacho 32. Luna D. 16. Machin J. 17. Andy 11. Clemente O. 14. Millan A. 9. Ortuno A. (C)	13. Fernandez R. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 21. Postigo S. (C) 4. Egiluz U. 33. Parada V. 29. Benito I. 10. Reina A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 27. Roca J. 9. Panichelli J. 17. Izeta
Substitutes
4. Alcala P. 26. Andugar A. 29. Checo 33. El Jebari S. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 6. Mini 8. Munoz L. 35. Nono (G) 22. Olivas K. 36. Rubio L. N.	3. Alonso J. 7. Butzke A. 11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 8. Garcia C. 19. Lachuer M. 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 2. Rincon H. 5. Tachi 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Egiluz U. 🟨,
35', Hernandez J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Izeta ⚽, Panichelli J. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Millan A. ⚽, Nacho (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Roca J. ⚽,
45+3', Machin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Panichelli J. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
46', Egiluz U. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
57', Reina A. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
57', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
57', Roca J. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
61', Luna D. 🟨,
66', Luna D. ↓, Checo ↑,
66', Nacho ↓, Mini ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Calvo A. ⚽,
77', Ortuno A. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
84', Millan A. ↓, Munoz L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Cartagena is Relegated to

Mirandés is Qualified for LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.

Cartagena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mirandés is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mirandés is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Moreno J. (Yellow Cards) Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Olivas K. (Injury) Valles G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Ndiaye Dione A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Lachuer M. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cartagena - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Zaragoza - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Cartagena - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWLWL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Mirandés - Almería	0:0 ✺
19.05.25	Córdoba - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Mirandés - Castellón	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Eibar - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Mirandés - Cartagena	3:1
11.02.24	Cartagena - Mirandés	1:0
29.10.23	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
09.04.23	Cartagena - Mirandés	1:0
21.11.22	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
12.03.22	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1
19.12.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	3:0

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