Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2


	Cartagena		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.45	3.4	2.06	Watch
	3.72	3.5	2.1
	3.72	3.59	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.59	3.46	2.07	Watch
	3.45	3.4	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
26.4%

Draw
27.6%

Tenerife
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Cartagena - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tenerife (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fuidias T. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Alcala P. (C) 2. Moreno J. 12. Vukcevic A. 17. Andy 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 32. Luna D. 16. Machin J. 11. Clemente O. 14. Millan A.	1. Carrasco S. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 5. Gonzalez S. (C) 12. Landazuri A. 39. Gabriel Palmero 19. Cantero A. 20. Mesa M. 33. Martin Luis A. 17. Rubio W. 7. Padilla J. 8. Diarra Y.
Substitutes
29. Checo 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Delmas J. 33. El Jebari S. 10. Escriche D. 28. Hernandez J. 6. Mini 38. Nunez R. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 36. Rubio L. N.	29. Alvarez C. 25. Badia E. (G) 15. Bodiger Y. 11. Cruz Luismi 18. Enric 22. Mellot J. 9. Rodriguez A. 16. Sanz A. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Landazuri A. 🟥,
27', Cantero A. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Aguirregabiria M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Palmero ↓, Mellot J. ↑,
46', Padilla J. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
49', Andy 🟨,
54', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
62', Clemente O. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
73', Vukcevic A. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
73', Machin J. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
73', Millan A. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
78', Rubio W. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Luna D. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
84', Alvarez C. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
89', Andy ↓, Mini ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cartagena is Relegated to

Tenerife is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 1.

Cartagena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tenerife's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tenerife might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Nacho (Yellow Cards) Olivas K. (Injury) Valles G. (Injury) Vukcevic A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Nacho (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.87%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Zaragoza - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Cartagena - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Cartagena - Granada	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Almería - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Levante - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Tenerife - Eibar	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Tenerife - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0
12.05.24	Cartagena - Tenerife	2:0
26.11.23	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1
22.01.23	Cartagena - Tenerife	0:1
12.10.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	0:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:2

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