Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Mirandés		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.25	3.35	2.1	Watch
	3.07	3.45	2.29	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.56	3.48	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.49)	3.32 ↓ (3.48)	2.17 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
28.8%

Draw
28.1%

Almería
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

27.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	15%	70%

Mirandés - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Almería will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 20%). Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mirandés (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Mirandés (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Almería (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 30. El Jebari S. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 17. Perez P. 28. Hernandez J. 10. Fernandez C.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 3. Munoz A. 20. Centelles A. 14. Baba I. 29. Dzodic S. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Arribas S. 23. Embarba A. 9. Thalys
Substitutes
18. Barea Fernandez I. 15. Cabello J. 11. Cardero A. 20. Eto'o E. 19. Illesca M. 13. Juanpa (G) 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 5. Pica A. 27. Tamarit T.	. Gui Guedes . Hernandez A. . Horta A. . Iribarne B. (G) . Kounia H. . Luna M. . Martinez F. (G) . Martin H. . Martins L. . Perovic M. . Puigmal A.
Coaches
Galvan J.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽,
29', Munoz A. 🟨,
30', Fernandez C. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽, El Jebari S. (A),
67', Hernandez J. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
71', Cardero A. 🟨,
71', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
71', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
71', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
76', El Jebari S. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
76', Fernandez C. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
80', Centelles A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
90+1', Helguera T. 🟨,
90+2', Arribas S. 🟨,
90+3', Medrano F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 0.

Mirandés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Almería might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Mirandés: Clua S. (Injury) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Pascual M. (Yellow Cards) Petit G. (Red Card) Postigo S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Horta A. (Illness) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Soko P. (International duty) Thalys (Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Almería - Granada	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Málaga - Almería	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	FC Andorra - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Eldense - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Mirandés - Almería	0:0
13.12.24	Almería - Mirandés	1:0
20.02.22	Almería - Mirandés	2:1
24.10.21	Mirandés - Almería	1:4
25.04.21	Mirandés - Almería	1:1
14.11.20	Almería - Mirandés	2:1
28.06.20	Mirandés - Almería	2:2

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