Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Cartagena FC		Minera

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.5	4.2
	1.55	4.5	3.8
	1.56	4.64	3.9
	1.5	4.62	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)	4.57 ↑ (3.68)	4.2 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena FC
58.8%

Draw
19.7%

Minera
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

18.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena FC than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Cartagena FC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Minera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cartagena FC is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cartagena FC won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.03.22	El Palmar - Cartagena FC	3:2 ✺
27.02.22	Cartagena FC - Archena Sport	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Huércal-Overa - Cartagena FC	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cartagena FC - UCAM Murcia B	0:4 ✺
06.02.22	Caravaca - Cartagena FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLW
- CD Minera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.03.22	Minera - Los Garres	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Minera - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Archena Sport - Minera	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	Minera - Huércal-Overa	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	UCAM Murcia B - Minera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
31.10.21	Minera - Cartagena FC	0:1
24.01.21	Cartagena FC - Minera	3:1
26.01.20	Minera - Cartagena FC	0:1
07.09.19	Cartagena FC - Minera	2:5

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