Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.9
	3.35	3.7	1.85
	3.3	3.65	1.93
	3.39	4.01	1.82	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.85
	3.59	3.7	1.81	Watch
	3.41	3.6	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
26.7%

Draw
24.8%

Lech Poznań 2
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.6%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

23.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Cartusia Kartuzy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lech 2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lech 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cartusia Kartuzy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lipno Stęszew	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	6:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:1
17.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:0
19.10.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	1:3

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