Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 12

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Caruaru City		Belo Jardim

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.5	3.45	2.32
	3.14	3.02	2.07
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.72	3.28	1.95
	2.5	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.2)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	2.18 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caruaru City
30.5%

Draw
27.8%

Belo Jardim
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caruaru City's form might have worsened.

Belo Jardim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belo Jardim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caruaru City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belo Jardim than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belo Jardim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	15.8%	42.1%

Caruaru City - Belo Jardim Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Caruaru City will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Belo Jardim will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caruaru City: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Belo Jardim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caruaru City will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caruaru City SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.03.23	Central SC - Caruaru City	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Caruaru City - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Petrolina - Caruaru City	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Caruaru City - Maguary	2:3 ✺
01.02.23	Caruaru City - Salgueiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLL
- Belo Jardim FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.02.23	Belo Jardim - Central SC	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Belo Jardim - Salgueiro	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	Íbis - Belo Jardim	2:0 ✺
02.02.23	Maguary - Belo Jardim	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Belo Jardim - Petrolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLTL

Caruaru City - Belo Jardim

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Caruaru City - Belo Jardim Predictions

Preview

Form

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