Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Casa Pia		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.58	3.9	5
	1.55	3.7	5.2
	1.62	3.65	5
	1.64	4.05	5.57
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.61	3.78	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	5.25 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
58%

Draw
24.3%

Académica Coimbra
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Casa Pia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Académica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

Académica is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.21	Feirense - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Valadares Gaia - Casa Pia	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Mafra - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Casa Pia - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWTW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Benfica B - Académica Coimbra	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.21	Académica Coimbra - Famalicão	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
02.10.21	Académico de Viseu - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Alpendorada - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.04.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	0:3
20.12.20	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	1:1
08.12.19	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	3:1

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