The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mafra 30.2%
Draw 29.8%
Casa Pia 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
28.9%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
20.7%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra's form might have worsened.
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casa Pia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
26.9%
57.7%
Mafra - Casa Pia Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 38.7% – 76.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 5).
Recent matches Mafra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Casa Pia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
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