Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Casa Pia		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3.5	4.4
	1.75	3.35	4.3
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.7	3.81	5.34
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.71	3.54	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)	3.56 ↑ (3.27)	4.7 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
54.2%

Draw
26.1%

Covilhã
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casa Pia's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covilhã might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Casa Pia - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Casa Pia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Covilhã is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Casa Pia have a series of guest games.

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Canelas - Casa Pia	2:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.21	Nacional - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Trofense - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Casa Pia - Benfica B	4:2 ✺
21.08.21	Penafiel - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL
- Sporting Covilhã
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Idanhense - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
21.09.21	Covilhã - Vitoria Guimarães	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.21	Covilhã - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Benfica B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.03.21	Covilhã - Casa Pia	0:0
07.11.20	Casa Pia - Covilhã	0:1
05.01.20	Casa Pia - Covilhã	1:4

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