Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Casa Pia		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.9	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.43
	1.83	3.29	4.23	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.87	3.35	4.31	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	3.26 ↑ (3.16)	4.26 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
49.8%

Draw
28.4%

Chaves
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Casa Pia - Chaves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batista R. (G) 12. Benaissa-Yahia F. 16. Beni 90. Cassiano 6. Fonte J. (C) 3. Kluivert R. 72. Larrazabal G. 29. Livolant J. 14. Miguel Sousa 7. Moreira N. 2. Tchamba D.	31. Moura R. (G) 95. Ayongo P. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 15. Carraca 23. Gomes R. 7. Paulo Victor 8. Pinho P. 40. Pius J. 20. Ricardo A. 5. Romero A. 14. Wilson R.
Substitutes
22. Azevedo D. (G) 10. Blanco R. 17. Brito R. 18. Geraldes A. 4. Goulart J. 5. Lelo L. 77. Obeng S. 52. Pereira H. 9. Svensson M.	13. Fernandes V. 55. Kiko 17. Kusso D. 70. Morim H. 11. Pelagio P. 30. Pinto G. (G) 29. Platiny 10. Sanca L. 19. Tiago Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Cassiano ⚽,
24', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Moreira N. (Pen),
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Livolant J. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
71', 🟥,
80', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 2.

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chaves is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Casa Pia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
09.11.24	Casa Pia - Farense	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Rio Ave - Casa Pia	2:2 ✺
25.10.24	Casa Pia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Amora - Casa Pia	0:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWL
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Oliveirense - Chaves	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.10.24	Chaves - Feirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.04.24	Casa Pia - Chaves	3:1
17.12.23	Chaves - Casa Pia	1:3
29.04.23	Chaves - Casa Pia	1:0
13.11.22	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
13.03.22	Chaves - Casa Pia	4:1
23.10.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:0
06.04.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:2

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