Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
China	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter


	Casa Pia		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	8.5	5	1.33
	10.5	5.4	1.27	Watch
	10.3	5.65	1.31
	8.33	5.30	1.32	Watch
	7.5	4.6	1.29	Watch
	7.9	5.15	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.79 ↓ (8.92)	5.23 ↑ (5.1)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
10.7%

Draw
17.9%

Sporting Lisbon
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

18.5%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Sporting (1.95) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Sporting (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sequeira P. (G) 4. Goulart J. 6. Fonte J. (C) 2. Tchamba D. 72. Larrazabal G. 20. Oukili Y. 8. Brito R. 12. Benaissa-Yahia F. 29. Livolant J. 90. Cassiano 7. Nsona K.	1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 5. Morita H. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 10. Catamo G. 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
22. Azevedo D. (G) 18. Geraldes A. 27. Kaique Rocha 3. Kaly 14. Miguel Sousa 24. Mohamed I. 74. Nhaga R. 13. Osundina K. 9. Svensson M.	27. Alisson Santos 6. Debast Z. 9. Harder C. 14. Kochorashvili G. 91. Mangas R. 72. Quaresma E. 7. Quenda G. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Pereira J.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Goulart J. 🟨,
12', Cassiano 🟨,
25', Brito R. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Trincao ⚽, Goncalves P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Goncalves P. 🟨,
53', Araujo M. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
57', Brito R. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
57', Goulart J. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
58', Catamo G. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
58', Diomande O. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Hjulmand M. ⚽, Trincao (A),
72', Nsona K. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
76', Nhaga R. 🟨,
82', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
82', Larrazabal G. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
84', Goncalves P. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
85', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 0.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Suspended) Santos N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Casa Pia: Blanco R. (Leg Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
16.05.25	Famalicão - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Casa Pia - Braga	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arouca - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
29.04.25	Casa Pia - Estoril Praia	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	AVS - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTLT
- Sporting Lisbon
Portuguese Super Cup
31.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
21.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.03.25	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	1:3
05.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	2:0
29.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	8:0
18.08.23	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
09.04.23	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	3:4
22.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	3:1
Taça de Portugal
22.12.21	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	1:2

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