Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Vado

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.2
	1.58	3.75	4.8
	1.52	3.88	5.16
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.59	3.92	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	3.85 ↑ (3.5)	5.01 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
58.5%

Draw
23.5%

Vado
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore Caratese's performance.

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Folgore Caratese - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Serie D to Group A).

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vado is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Folgore Caratese have a series of guest games.

In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.04.21	Chieri - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
01.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Caronnese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
17.03.21	Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	PDHAE - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWTT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.04.21	Vado - Sestri Levante	4:3 ✺
11.04.21	Caronnese - Vado	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	PDHAE - Vado	5:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vado - Bra	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Derthona - Vado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLTL

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