The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casale 17%
Draw 24.9%
Ligorna 58.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.7%
24.5%
59%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Casale have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Ligorna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Casale won 0.
Casale has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ligorna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Casale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ligorna is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Casale won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.