Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Latina		Benevento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.7	1.58
	5.3	3.7	1.58
	5.62	3.8	1.6
	4.92	2.83	1.93	Watch
	5.22	3.65	1.58	Watch
	5.2	3.65	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.75)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
17.9%

Draw
26%

Benevento
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.6%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Benevento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+2%)

Latina - Benevento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Benevento (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. 32. Parodi G. 6. Calabrese B. 3. Porro M. 8. Ciko S. 21. Hergheligiu D. 2. Ercolano E. 10. Riccardi A. 7. Ekuban J. 97. Parigi G.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 19. Borghini D. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 77. Pierozzi E. 8. Maita M. (C) 5. Mehic D. 31. Ricci G. 11. Lamesta D. 10. Manconi J. 9. Salvemini F.
Substitutes
12. Basti M. (G) 30. De Ciancio R. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 23. Farneti G. 20. Fasan N. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 77. Pannitteri O. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 4. Scravaglieri M. 27. Vona A.	29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. . Esposito M. (G) 32. Mignani G. 4. Prisco A. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A. 93. Tumminello M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ricci G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Manconi J. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Ekuban J. ⚽,
68', Ercolano E. 🟨,
70', Ercolano E. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
79', Parigi G. 🟨,
79', Ekuban J. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
79', Riccardi A. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
80', Ricci G. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
85', Salvemini F. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
85', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
88', Hergheligiu D. ↓, De Ciancio R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 0.

In recent matches, Latina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Benevento is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Benevento is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Latina won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Latina - Altamura	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Cavese - Latina	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Latina - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Foggia - Latina	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Latina - Picerno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Benevento - Trapani	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Siracusa - Benevento	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Casarano - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.25	Latina - Benevento	0:1
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.25	Latina - Benevento	1:1
13.10.24	Benevento - Latina	5:0
21.04.24	Benevento - Latina	4:0
18.12.23	Latina - Benevento	0:0
Italian Serie B
11.02.17	Benevento - Latina	2:1
17.09.16	Latina - Benevento	1:1

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