Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)


	Casarano		Lavello

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.68	3.45	4.5
	1.67	3.45	4.47
	1.7	3.5	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	4.43 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
53.3%

Draw
26.3%

Lavello
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casarano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Casarano - Lavello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Casarano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lavello is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Casarano is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casarano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Casarano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.01.23	Gravina - Casarano	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Casarano - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Casarano - Bitonto	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Francavilla - Casarano	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Casarano - Gladiator	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWTT
- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.01.23	Martina Calcio - Lavello	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Lavello - Città di Fasano	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Lavello - Gravina	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Puteolana - Lavello	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Lavello - Francavilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
18.09.22	Lavello - Casarano	1:2
26.02.22	Casarano - Lavello	1:1
20.10.21	Lavello - Casarano	4:1
09.05.21	Casarano - Lavello	2:3
17.01.21	Lavello - Casarano	2:2

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