Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Gravina		Casarano

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.8	3.6	1.79
	4.05	3.52	1.74
	4.09	3.68	1.75
	3.74	3.74	1.87
	3.8	3.6	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)	3.56 ↑ (3.15)	1.84 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
24.5%

Draw
25.8%

Casarano
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casarano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gravina - Casarano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Stauciuc B. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Santoro D. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Santoro D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 3 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Santoro D. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Malcore G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Casarano is Confirmed as championsnQualified for

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gravina won 0.

Recent matches Gravina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casarano in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Gravina have a series of guest games.

Casarano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gravina won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gravina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.04.25	Costa D`Amalfi - Gravina	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Fidelis Andria - Gravina	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Francavilla - Gravina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Ugento - Gravina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.04.25	Casarano - Fidelis Andria	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Francavilla - Casarano	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Casarano - Manfredonia	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Ugento - Casarano	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	Casarano - Nardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
15.12.24	Casarano - Gravina	1:1
18.02.24	Casarano - Gravina	2:0
15.10.23	Gravina - Casarano	0:1
15.01.23	Gravina - Casarano	1:1
11.09.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:0
30.01.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:1
19.09.21	Gravina - Casarano	1:2

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